Just small changes in starting conditions can result in big changes to forecasts,” said Ken Mylne, Met Office Science Fellow ...

Many government contractors still rely on fragmented systems and static spreadsheets to project what’s ahead. That approach may work for tracking awarded contracts, but it fails to support confident ...

The probability in weather forecasts leaves many people perplexed on if, or when, they should continue with plans, cancel or delay. As summer ramps up across North America, millions of travelers, ...

Introduction: Moving Beyond Predictive Accuracy  Prediction has been traditionally the backbone of applied data science. From ...

Probability-based forecasts can better inform weather-based decision-making, according to new Met Office research.

Americans have long been familiar with “horse race” polls that accompany elections in the United States. But since 2008, a new polling tool has gained prominence, one that not only suggests which ...

Investors have been whipsawed by volatility for more than three years. A predictive tool from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has a phenomenal track record of forecasting directional moves in the ...

Throughout my career as a sales professional and sales leader, I’ve been asked to assess the closing probability of the deals in my pipeline. These probabilities are used to try to create accurate ...